Pair #2489

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXLIVTOP5-LIGSA26-AANC

LIV Golf South Africa: Will Abraham Ancer finish top 5?

Series: KXLIVTOP5
Entity: Abraham Ancer
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 452

YES ask: 0.8400
NO ask: 0.7000
Last: 0.4800

View on Kalshi

Rules If Abraham Ancer finishes top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 LIV Golf South Africa golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXLIVTOP10-LIGSA26-AANC

LIV Golf South Africa: Will Abraham Ancer finish top 10?

Series: KXLIVTOP10
Entity: Abraham Ancer
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 283

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.4100
Last: 0.9400

View on Kalshi

Rules If Abraham Ancer finishes top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 LIV Golf South Africa golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-22T08:00:32Z

Reasoning: If Abraham Ancer finishes top 5, he necessarily finishes top 10 as well. The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.7000
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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