Pair #2487

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXLIVTOP5-LIGSA26-BGRA

LIV Golf South Africa: Will Branden Grace finish top 5?

Series: KXLIVTOP5
Entity: Branden Grace
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1125

YES ask: 0.8400
NO ask: 0.5500
Last: 0.7900

View on Kalshi

Rules If Branden Grace finishes top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 LIV Golf South Africa golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXLIVTOP10-LIGSA26-BGRA

LIV Golf South Africa: Will Branden Grace finish top 10?

Series: KXLIVTOP10
Entity: Branden Grace
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 348

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.3600
Last: 0.8500

View on Kalshi

Rules If Branden Grace finishes top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 LIV Golf South Africa golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-22T08:00:32Z

Reasoning: If Branden Grace finishes top 5, he necessarily finishes top 10 as well (top 5 is a subset of top 10). The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.5500
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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