Pair #2486

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXNHLGAME-26MAR21WPGPIT-PIT

Winnipeg at Pittsburgh Winner?

Series: KXNHLGAME
Entity: PIT Penguins
Expiration: 2026-03-21T20:00:00Z
Volume: 28181

YES ask: 0.6000
NO ask: 0.4200
Last: 0.6000

View on Kalshi

Rules If PIT Penguins wins the Winnipeg at Pittsburgh professional hockey game scheduled for Mar 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXNHLGAME-26MAR22CARPIT-PIT

Carolina at Pittsburgh Winner?

Series: KXNHLGAME
Entity: PIT Penguins
Expiration: 2026-03-22T22:00:00Z
Volume: 4542

YES ask: 0.4300
NO ask: 0.5800
Last: 0.4300

View on Kalshi

Rules If PIT Penguins wins the Carolina at Pittsburgh professional hockey game scheduled for Mar 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-21T08:07:43Z

Reasoning: Two separate games for the Pittsburgh Penguins on consecutive days. Winning one does not necessitate winning the other.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.8500
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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