Pair #2484

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXNHLGAME-26MAR21VGKNSH-VGK

Vegas at Nashville Winner?

Series: KXNHLGAME
Entity: VGK Golden Knights
Expiration: 2026-03-21T21:00:00Z
Volume: 3945

YES ask: 0.5600
NO ask: 0.4500
Last: 0.5600

View on Kalshi

Rules If VGK Golden Knights wins the Vegas at Nashville professional hockey game scheduled for Mar 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXNHLGAME-26MAR22VGKDAL-VGK

Vegas at Dallas Winner?

Series: KXNHLGAME
Entity: VGK Golden Knights
Expiration: 2026-03-23T02:00:00Z
Volume: 1681

YES ask: 0.4300
NO ask: 0.5900
Last: 0.4300

View on Kalshi

Rules If VGK Golden Knights wins the Vegas at Dallas professional hockey game scheduled for Mar 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-21T08:07:43Z

Reasoning: Two separate games for the Vegas Golden Knights on consecutive days. Winning one does not necessitate winning the other.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.8800
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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