Pair #2478

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXNHLGAME-26MAR21NYIMTL-NYI

New York I at Montreal Winner?

Series: KXNHLGAME
Entity: NYI Islanders
Expiration: 2026-03-22T02:00:00Z
Volume: 1430

YES ask: 0.4600
NO ask: 0.5500
Last: 0.4600

View on Kalshi

Rules If NYI Islanders wins the New York I at Montreal professional hockey game scheduled for Mar 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXNHLGAME-26MAR22CBJNYI-NYI

Columbus at New York I Winner?

Series: KXNHLGAME
Entity: NYI Islanders
Expiration: 2026-03-23T02:00:00Z
Volume: 6133

YES ask: 0.4800
NO ask: 0.5300
Last: 0.4800

View on Kalshi

Rules If NYI Islanders wins the Columbus at New York I professional hockey game scheduled for Mar 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-21T08:07:34Z

Reasoning: These are two separate games on different dates. Winning one does not logically necessitate winning the other.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0300
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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