Pair #2477

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXNHLGAME-26MAR21TBEDM-TB

Tampa Bay at Edmonton Winner?

Series: KXNHLGAME
Entity: TB Lightning
Expiration: 2026-03-22T05:00:00Z
Volume: 3088

YES ask: 0.5600
NO ask: 0.4500
Last: 0.5600

View on Kalshi

Rules If TB Lightning wins the Tampa Bay at Edmonton professional hockey game scheduled for Mar 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXNHLGAME-26MAR22TBCGY-TB

Tampa Bay at Calgary Winner?

Series: KXNHLGAME
Entity: TB Lightning
Expiration: 2026-03-23T03:00:00Z
Volume: 13004

YES ask: 0.6200
NO ask: 0.3900
Last: 0.6200

View on Kalshi

Rules If TB Lightning wins the Tampa Bay at Calgary professional hockey game scheduled for Mar 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-21T08:07:34Z

Reasoning: These are two separate games on different dates. Winning one does not logically necessitate winning the other.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0700
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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