Pair #2474

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXNHLTOTAL-26MAR21BUFLA-5

Buffalo vs Los Angeles: Total Goals

Series: KXNHLTOTAL
Entity: Over 5.5 goals scored
Expiration: 2026-03-21T23:00:00Z
Volume: 272

YES ask: 0.5900
NO ask: 0.4300
Last: 0.6000

View on Kalshi

Rules If over 5.5 total combined goals are scored in the Buffalo vs Los Angeles professional hockey game originally scheduled for Mar 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXNHLTOTAL-26MAR21VGKNSH-5

Vegas vs Nashville: Total Goals

Series: KXNHLTOTAL
Entity: Over 5.5 goals scored
Expiration: 2026-03-21T21:00:00Z
Volume: 250

YES ask: 0.5900
NO ask: 0.4400
Last: 0.5600

View on Kalshi

Rules If over 5.5 total combined goals are scored in the Vegas vs Nashville professional hockey game originally scheduled for Mar 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-21T08:07:34Z

Reasoning: These are separate games with independent scoring outcomes. Neither implies the other.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0200
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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