Pair #2470

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXNHLTOTAL-26MAR21VGKNSH-6

Vegas vs Nashville: Total Goals

Series: KXNHLTOTAL
Entity: Over 6.5 goals scored
Expiration: 2026-03-21T21:00:00Z
Volume: 1136

YES ask: 0.4700
NO ask: 0.5500
Last: 0.4500

View on Kalshi

Rules If over 6.5 total combined goals are scored in the Vegas vs Nashville professional hockey game originally scheduled for Mar 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXNHLTOTAL-26MAR21WPGPIT-6

Winnipeg vs Pittsburgh: Total Goals

Series: KXNHLTOTAL
Entity: Over 6.5 goals scored
Expiration: 2026-03-21T20:00:00Z
Volume: 2293

YES ask: 0.4700
NO ask: 0.5500
Last: 0.4500

View on Kalshi

Rules If over 6.5 total combined goals are scored in the Winnipeg vs Pittsburgh professional hockey game originally scheduled for Mar 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-21T08:07:34Z

Reasoning: These are separate games with independent scoring outcomes. Neither implies the other.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0200
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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