Pair #247

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXNHL-26-ANA

Will Anaheim Ducks win the 2025-26 Stanley Cup Finals?

Series: KXNHL
Entity: Anaheim Ducks
Expiration: 2026-07-01T14:00:00Z
Volume: 2879856

YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules If the Anaheim Ducks win the 2025-26 Stanley Cup Finals, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXNHLPRES-26-ANA

Will the Anaheim Ducks win the Pro Hockey President's Trophy?

Series: KXNHLPRES
Entity: Anaheim Ducks
Expiration: 2026-04-17T14:00:00Z
Volume: 36475

YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Anaheim Ducks wins the Pro Hockey President's Trophy, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-18T08:04:55Z

Reasoning: Winning the Stanley Cup does not require winning the President's Trophy (best regular season record), and winning the President's Trophy does not require winning the Stanley Cup. These are independent achievements.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: -11.06% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: 31
Hurdle yield: 4.22%
Excess yield: -15.27% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

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