Pair #2463

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXNHLTOTAL-26MAR21PHISJ-6

Philadelphia vs San Jose: Total Goals

Series: KXNHLTOTAL
Entity: Over 6.5 goals scored
Expiration: 2026-03-21T23:00:00Z
Volume: 392

YES ask: 0.4600
NO ask: 0.5600
Last: 0.4400

View on Kalshi

Rules If over 6.5 total combined goals are scored in the Philadelphia vs San Jose professional hockey game originally scheduled for Mar 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXNHLTOTAL-26MAR21VGKNSH-6

Vegas vs Nashville: Total Goals

Series: KXNHLTOTAL
Entity: Over 6.5 goals scored
Expiration: 2026-03-21T21:00:00Z
Volume: 1136

YES ask: 0.4700
NO ask: 0.5500
Last: 0.4500

View on Kalshi

Rules If over 6.5 total combined goals are scored in the Vegas vs Nashville professional hockey game originally scheduled for Mar 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-21T08:07:22Z

Reasoning: These are two separate hockey games with independent outcomes. Neither result logically necessitates the other.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0300
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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