Pair #245

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXNHLCENTRAL-26-COL

Will Colorado Avalanche win the NHL Central Division?

Series: KXNHLCENTRAL
Entity: Colorado Avalanche
Expiration: 2026-04-17T14:00:00Z
Volume: 20543

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.0100
Last: 0.9800

View on Kalshi

Rules

If the Colorado Avalanche win the 2025-2026 NHL Central Division, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXNHLWEST-26-COL

Western Conference Finals Winner?

Series: KXNHLWEST
Entity: Colorado Avalanche
Expiration: 2026-07-01T14:00:00Z
Volume: 2321040

YES ask: 0.1100
NO ask: 0.9000
Last: 0.1000

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Colorado Avalanche wins the Western Conference Finals, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-18T08:04:36Z

Reasoning: Winning the Western Conference Finals does not require winning the Central Division (wild card teams can advance). Winning the Central Division does not guarantee reaching the Western Conference Finals. No logical implication in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.1200
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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