Pair #244

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXNHLCENTRAL-26-COL

Will Colorado Avalanche win the NHL Central Division?

Series: KXNHLCENTRAL
Entity: Colorado Avalanche
Expiration: 2026-04-17T14:00:00Z
Volume: 20543

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.0100
Last: 0.9800

View on Kalshi

Rules

If the Colorado Avalanche win the 2025-2026 NHL Central Division, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXNHLPRES-26-COL

Will the Colorado Avalanche win the Pro Hockey President's Trophy?

Series: KXNHLPRES
Entity: Colorado Avalanche
Expiration: 2026-04-17T14:00:00Z
Volume: 48583

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.0100
Last: 0.9900

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Colorado Avalanche wins the Pro Hockey President's Trophy, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-18T08:04:36Z

Reasoning: The President's Trophy goes to the team with the best overall NHL record, which does not necessarily mean they won their division. A team can have the best record league-wide while another team in their division has a better divisional record. Conversely, winning the Central Division does not mean having the best overall record. No logical implication in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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