Pair #2430

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXMOWOMEN-26-BAD

Will Paula Badosa win the WTA Miami Open?

Series: KXMOWOMEN
Entity: Paula Badosa
Expiration: 2026-03-28T19:30:00Z
Volume: 500

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Paula Badosa wins the 2026 WTA Miami Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXWTAMATCH-26MAR20JOVBAD-BAD

Will Paula Badosa win the Jovic vs Badosa : Round Of 64 match?

Series: KXWTAMATCH
Entity: Paula Badosa
Expiration: 2026-03-20T17:00:00Z
Volume: 14689

YES ask: 0.3900
NO ask: 0.6200
Last: 0.3900

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Paula Badosa wins the Jovic vs Badosa professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Miami Round Of 64 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-21T08:06:45Z

Reasoning: To win the 2026 WTA Miami Open, Paula Badosa must win every match including the Round of 64 match against Jovic. Winning the tournament logically necessitates winning that early round match.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.3900
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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