Pair #2425

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXMOMEN-26-ZVE

Will Alexander Zverev win the ATP Miami Open?

Series: KXMOMEN
Entity: Alexander Zverev
Expiration: 2026-03-29T19:30:00Z
Volume: 41460

YES ask: 0.1000
NO ask: 0.9200
Last: 0.1000

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Alexander Zverev wins the 2026 ATP Miami Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXATPMATCH-26MAR20DAMZVE-ZVE

Will Alexander Zverev win the Damm Jr vs Zverev : Round Of 64 match?

Series: KXATPMATCH
Entity: Alexander Zverev
Expiration: 2026-03-20T18:00:00Z
Volume: 11184

YES ask: 0.9100
NO ask: 0.1100
Last: 0.9100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Alexander Zverev wins the Damm Jr vs Zverev professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Miami Round Of 64 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-21T08:06:45Z

Reasoning: To win the 2026 ATP Miami Open, Zverev must win every match including the Round of 64 match against Damm Jr. Winning the tournament logically necessitates winning that early round match.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.8300
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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