Pair #2422

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXMOMEN-26-SHE

Will Ben Shelton win the ATP Miami Open?

Series: KXMOMEN
Entity: Ben Shelton
Expiration: 2026-03-29T19:30:00Z
Volume: 28585

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Ben Shelton wins the 2026 ATP Miami Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXATPMATCH-26MAR21SHESHE2-SHE

Will Ben Shelton win the Shelton vs Shevchenko : Round Of 64 match?

Series: KXATPMATCH
Entity: Ben Shelton
Expiration: 2026-03-22T02:00:00Z
Volume: 689

YES ask: 0.8400
NO ask: 0.1800
Last: 0.8400

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Ben Shelton wins the Shelton vs Shevchenko professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Miami Round Of 64 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-21T08:06:45Z

Reasoning: To win the 2026 ATP Miami Open, Ben Shelton must win every match including the Round of 64 match against Shevchenko. Winning the tournament logically necessitates winning that early round match.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.8400
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue