Pair #242

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXNHLCENTRAL-26-COL

Will Colorado Avalanche win the NHL Central Division?

Series: KXNHLCENTRAL
Entity: Colorado Avalanche
Expiration: 2026-04-17T14:00:00Z
Volume: 20543

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.0100
Last: 0.9800

View on Kalshi

Rules

If the Colorado Avalanche win the 2025-2026 NHL Central Division, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXNHLPLAYOFF-26-COL

Will the Colorado Avalanche be one of the 2025-26 Pro Hockey Playoff Qualifiers?

Series: KXNHLPLAYOFF
Entity: Colorado Avalanche
Expiration: 2026-04-17T14:00:00Z
Volume: 8605

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.0100
Last: 0.9900

View on Kalshi

Rules

If the Colorado Avalanche are one of the 2025-26 Pro Hockey Playoff Qualifiers, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-18T08:04:36Z

Reasoning: Winning the Central Division guarantees a playoff berth in the NHL, so it implies being a playoff qualifier. The reverse does not hold — Colorado could make the playoffs as a wild card without winning the division.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Decision: confirmed
Reviewed at: 2026-03-18T15:36:38Z

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