Pair #2419

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXMOMEN-26-AUG

Will Felix Auger-Aliassime win the ATP Miami Open?

Series: KXMOMEN
Entity: Felix Auger-Aliassime
Expiration: 2026-03-29T19:30:00Z
Volume: 10678

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0400

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Rules

If Felix Auger-Aliassime wins the 2026 ATP Miami Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXATPMATCH-26MAR21AUGFUC-AUG

Will Felix Auger-Aliassime win the Auger-Aliassime vs Fucsovics : Round Of 64 match?

Series: KXATPMATCH
Entity: Felix Auger-Aliassime
Expiration: 2026-03-21T18:00:00Z
Volume: 14544

YES ask: 0.7700
NO ask: 0.2600
Last: 0.7600

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Felix Auger-Aliassime wins the Auger-Aliassime vs Fucsovics professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Miami Round Of 64 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-21T08:06:26Z

Reasoning: To win the ATP Miami Open, Auger-Aliassime must win every match including the Round of 64 against Fucsovics. Winning the tournament implies winning this earlier match. The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.7700
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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