Pair #2417

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXMOMEN-26-TIA

Will Frances Tiafoe win the ATP Miami Open?

Series: KXMOMEN
Entity: Frances Tiafoe
Expiration: 2026-03-29T19:30:00Z
Volume: 28318

YES ask: 0.0400
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.0400

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Frances Tiafoe wins the 2026 ATP Miami Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXATPMATCH-26MAR21TIACAZ-TIA

Will Frances Tiafoe win the Tiafoe vs Cazaux : Round Of 64 match?

Series: KXATPMATCH
Entity: Frances Tiafoe
Expiration: 2026-03-21T22:40:00Z
Volume: 13974

YES ask: 0.6900
NO ask: 0.3300
Last: 0.6900

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Frances Tiafoe wins the Tiafoe vs Cazaux professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Miami Round Of 64 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-21T08:06:26Z

Reasoning: To win the ATP Miami Open, Tiafoe must win every match including the Round of 64 against Cazaux. Winning the tournament implies winning this earlier match. The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.6800
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue