Pair #2416

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXATPMATCH-26MAR21WALMEN-MEN

Will Jakub Mensik win the Walton vs Mensik : Round Of 64 match?

Series: KXATPMATCH
Entity: Jakub Mensik
Expiration: 2026-03-21T18:00:00Z
Volume: 1690

YES ask: 0.7300
NO ask: 0.2800
Last: 0.7300

View on Kalshi

Rules If Jakub Mensik wins the Walton vs Mensik professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Miami Round Of 64 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXFOMEN-26-MEN

Will Jakub Mensik win the French Open?

Series: KXFOMEN
Entity: Jakub Mensik
Expiration: 2026-06-10T17:00:00Z
Volume: 297888

YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.0300

View on Kalshi

Rules If Jakub Mensik wins the 2026 Men's French Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-21T08:06:26Z

Reasoning: The French Open and the ATP Miami Open Round of 64 match are completely separate tournaments. Winning the French Open has no logical necessity on winning the Miami Open Round of 64 match, and vice versa.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.3000
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue