Pair #2412

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXLIVTOUR-LIGSA26-BWAT

Will Bubba Watson win the LIV Golf South Africa?

Series: KXLIVTOUR
Entity: Bubba Watson
Expiration: 2026-03-22T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1939

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

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Rules

If Bubba Watson wins the LIV Golf South Africa, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-BWAT

Will Bubba Watson win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Bubba Watson
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 1374056

YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Bubba Watson wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-21T08:06:26Z

Reasoning: These are two completely separate tournaments — the Masters and LIV Golf South Africa. Winning one has no logical bearing on winning the other.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0010
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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