Pair #2411

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXDPWORLDTOUR-HACPBM26-NKIM

Will Nathan Kimsey win the Hainan Classic presented by MAEXTRO?

Series: KXDPWORLDTOUR
Entity: Nathan Kimsey
Expiration: 2026-03-22T00:00:00Z
Volume: 5451

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Nathan Kimsey wins the Hainan Classic presented by MAEXTRO, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXDPWORLDTOURMAKECUT-HACPBM26-NKIM

Hainan Classic presented by MAEXTRO: Will Nathan Kimsey make the cut?

Series: KXDPWORLDTOURMAKECUT
Entity: Nathan Kimsey
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 243

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Nathan Kimsey makes the cut in the 2026 Hainan Classic presented by MAEXTRO golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-21T08:06:26Z

Reasoning: Winning a golf tournament requires making the cut. If Nathan Kimsey wins, he must have made the cut. The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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