Pair #2410

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXDPWORLDTOUR-HACPBM26-KAPH

Will Kiradech Aphibarnrat win the Hainan Classic presented by MAEXTRO?

Series: KXDPWORLDTOUR
Entity: Kiradech Aphibarnrat
Expiration: 2026-03-22T00:00:00Z
Volume: 200

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Kiradech Aphibarnrat wins the Hainan Classic presented by MAEXTRO, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXDPWORLDTOURMAKECUT-HACPBM26-KAPH

Hainan Classic presented by MAEXTRO: Will Kiradech Aphibarnrat make the cut?

Series: KXDPWORLDTOURMAKECUT
Entity: Kiradech Aphibarnrat
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 513

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Kiradech Aphibarnrat makes the cut in the 2026 Hainan Classic presented by MAEXTRO golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-21T08:06:26Z

Reasoning: Winning a golf tournament requires making the cut. If Kiradech Aphibarnrat wins, he must have made the cut. The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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