Pair #2409

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXDPWORLDTOUR-HACPBM26-MTOO

Will Mike Toorop win the Hainan Classic presented by MAEXTRO?

Series: KXDPWORLDTOUR
Entity: Mike Toorop
Expiration: 2026-03-22T00:00:00Z
Volume: 374

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Mike Toorop wins the Hainan Classic presented by MAEXTRO, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXDPWORLDTOURMAKECUT-HACPBM26-MTOO

Hainan Classic presented by MAEXTRO: Will Mike Toorop make the cut?

Series: KXDPWORLDTOURMAKECUT
Entity: Mike Toorop
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 467

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Mike Toorop makes the cut in the 2026 Hainan Classic presented by MAEXTRO golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-21T08:06:26Z

Reasoning: Winning a golf tournament requires making the cut. If Mike Toorop wins, he must have made the cut. The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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