Pair #2408

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXDPWORLDTOUR-HACPBM26-ELOP

Will Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra win the Hainan Classic presented by MAEXTRO?

Series: KXDPWORLDTOUR
Entity: Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra
Expiration: 2026-03-22T00:00:00Z
Volume: 17866

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra wins the Hainan Classic presented by MAEXTRO, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXDPWORLDTOURMAKECUT-HACPBM26-ELOP

Hainan Classic presented by MAEXTRO: Will Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra make the cut?

Series: KXDPWORLDTOURMAKECUT
Entity: Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 253

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra makes the cut in the 2026 Hainan Classic presented by MAEXTRO golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-21T08:06:26Z

Reasoning: To win a golf tournament, a player must make the cut. You cannot win without surviving the cut. So winning implies making the cut. The reverse is not true — making the cut does not imply winning.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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