Antecedent (if this happens)
KXDPWORLDTOUR-HACPBM26-ZWAN
Will Zi Wang win the Hainan Classic presented by MAEXTRO?
Series: KXDPWORLDTOUR
Entity: Zi Wang
Expiration: 2026-03-22T00:00:00Z
Volume: 935
YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Zi Wang wins the Hainan Classic presented by MAEXTRO, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)
KXDPWORLDTOURMAKECUT-HACPBM26-ZWAN
Hainan Classic presented by MAEXTRO: Will Zi Wang make the cut?
Series: KXDPWORLDTOURMAKECUT
Entity: Zi Wang
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1028
YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Zi Wang makes the cut in the 2026 Hainan Classic presented by MAEXTRO golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-21T08:06:05Z
Reasoning: To win a golf tournament, a player must make the cut. If Zi Wang wins the Hainan Classic, he must have made the cut. The reverse does not hold.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
N/A
Cost:
$1.0100
Days to maturity:
N/A
Hurdle yield:
N/A
Excess yield:
N/A