Pair #2401

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXATP1RANK-26JUN30-JSIN

Who will be the #1 ranked ATP men's singles player on Jun 30, 2026?

Series: KXATP1RANK
Entity: Jannik Sinner
Expiration: 2026-06-30T16:00:00Z
Volume: 24613

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.0100
Last: 0.9900

View on Kalshi

Rules If Jannik Sinner is the #1 ranked on the PIF ATP singles rankings on Jun 30, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXATPMATCH-26MAR20DZUSIN-SIN

Will Jannik Sinner win the Dzumhur vs Sinner : Round Of 64 match?

Series: KXATPMATCH
Entity: Jannik Sinner
Expiration: 2026-03-20T18:00:00Z
Volume: 32756

YES ask: 0.9800
NO ask: 0.0300
Last: 0.9800

View on Kalshi

Rules If Jannik Sinner wins the Dzumhur vs Sinner professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Miami Round Of 64 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-21T08:06:05Z

Reasoning: Being #1 ranked on Jun 30, 2026 does not logically necessitate winning a specific Round of 64 match in March 2026, and winning a single early-round match does not necessitate being #1 ranked at a later date. No logical implication in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: 13.48% PROFITABLE
Cost: $0.9900
Days to maturity: 29
Hurdle yield: 4.22%
Excess yield: +9.26% PROFITABLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue