Pair #240

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXNHLPRES-26-COL

Will the Colorado Avalanche win the Pro Hockey President's Trophy?

Series: KXNHLPRES
Entity: Colorado Avalanche
Expiration: 2026-04-17T14:00:00Z
Volume: 48583

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.0100
Last: 0.9900

View on Kalshi

Rules If Colorado Avalanche wins the Pro Hockey President's Trophy, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXNHLPLAYOFF-26-COL

Will the Colorado Avalanche be one of the 2025-26 Pro Hockey Playoff Qualifiers?

Series: KXNHLPLAYOFF
Entity: Colorado Avalanche
Expiration: 2026-04-17T14:00:00Z
Volume: 8605

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.0100
Last: 0.9900

View on Kalshi

Rules If the Colorado Avalanche are one of the 2025-26 Pro Hockey Playoff Qualifiers, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-18T08:04:36Z

Reasoning: Winning the President's Trophy (best regular season record) guarantees a playoff spot — the team with the best record in the league necessarily qualifies for the playoffs. However, making the playoffs does not imply winning the President's Trophy.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Decision: confirmed
Reviewed at: 2026-03-18T15:35:24Z

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