Pair #2395

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXMOWOMEN-26-GAU

Will Coco Gauff win the WTA Miami Open?

Series: KXMOWOMEN
Entity: Coco Gauff
Expiration: 2026-03-28T19:30:00Z
Volume: 135800

YES ask: 0.2800
NO ask: 0.7300
Last: 0.2800

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Coco Gauff wins the 2026 WTA Miami Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXWTAMATCH-26MAR21PARGAU-GAU

Will Coco Gauff win the Parks vs Gauff : Round Of 32 match?

Series: KXWTAMATCH
Entity: Coco Gauff
Expiration: 2026-03-21T17:00:00Z
Volume: 859

YES ask: 0.8900
NO ask: 0.1500
Last: 0.8900

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Coco Gauff wins the Parks vs Gauff professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Miami Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-21T08:05:42Z

Reasoning: To win the WTA Miami Open, Gauff must win every match in the tournament, including the Round of 32 match against Parks. Winning the tournament necessitates winning that match. The reverse does not hold — she could win the R32 match but lose later.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.6200
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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