Pair #2393

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXMOWOMEN-26-GAU

Will Coco Gauff win the WTA Miami Open?

Series: KXMOWOMEN
Entity: Coco Gauff
Expiration: 2026-03-28T19:30:00Z
Volume: 135800

YES ask: 0.2800
NO ask: 0.7300
Last: 0.2800

View on Kalshi

Rules If Coco Gauff wins the 2026 WTA Miami Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXWTAGRANDSLAM-26-CGAU

Will Coco Gauff win a Tennis Grand Slam in 2026?

Series: KXWTAGRANDSLAM
Entity: Coco Gauff
Expiration: 2026-12-31T15:00:00Z
Volume: 2434

YES ask: 0.2900
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.3400

View on Kalshi

Rules If Coco Gauff wins a tennis major (the Australian Open, the U.S. Open, the French Open, or Wimbledon) before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-21T08:05:42Z

Reasoning: The Miami Open is not a Grand Slam. Winning a Grand Slam does not require winning Miami, and winning Miami does not constitute winning a Grand Slam.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0200
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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