Pair #2391

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXFOWOMEN-26-GAU

Will Coco Gauff win the French Open?

Series: KXFOWOMEN
Entity: Coco Gauff
Expiration: 2026-06-10T17:00:00Z
Volume: 146036

YES ask: 0.1300
NO ask: 0.8800
Last: 0.1300

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Coco Gauff wins the 2026 Women's French Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXMOWOMEN-26-GAU

Will Coco Gauff win the WTA Miami Open?

Series: KXMOWOMEN
Entity: Coco Gauff
Expiration: 2026-03-28T19:30:00Z
Volume: 135800

YES ask: 0.2800
NO ask: 0.7300
Last: 0.2800

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Coco Gauff wins the 2026 WTA Miami Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-21T08:05:42Z

Reasoning: The French Open and WTA Miami Open are entirely separate tournaments. Winning one does not necessitate winning the other in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: -99.76% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.1600
Days to maturity: 9
Hurdle yield: 4.22%
Excess yield: -103.98% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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