Pair #2387

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXMOWOMEN-26-PAO

Will Jasmine Paolini win the WTA Miami Open?

Series: KXMOWOMEN
Entity: Jasmine Paolini
Expiration: 2026-03-28T19:30:00Z
Volume: 1290

YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Jasmine Paolini wins the 2026 WTA Miami Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXWTAMATCH-26MAR21OSTPAO-PAO

Will Jasmine Paolini win the Ostapenko vs Paolini : Round Of 32 match?

Series: KXWTAMATCH
Entity: Jasmine Paolini
Expiration: 2026-03-21T17:00:00Z
Volume: 11028

YES ask: 0.5700
NO ask: 0.4400
Last: 0.5700

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Jasmine Paolini wins the Ostapenko vs Paolini professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Miami Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-21T08:05:42Z

Reasoning: To win the WTA Miami Open, Paolini must win every match in the tournament, including the Round of 32 match against Ostapenko. So winning the Miami Open necessitates winning that specific match. The reverse does not hold — she could win the R32 match but lose later.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.5700
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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