Pair #2381

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXMOWOMEN-26-AND

Will Mirra Andreeva win the WTA Miami Open?

Series: KXMOWOMEN
Entity: Mirra Andreeva
Expiration: 2026-03-28T19:30:00Z
Volume: 2719

YES ask: 0.1200
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Mirra Andreeva wins the 2026 WTA Miami Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXWTAGRANDSLAM-26-MAND

Will Mirra Andreeva win a Tennis Grand Slam in 2026?

Series: KXWTAGRANDSLAM
Entity: Mirra Andreeva
Expiration: 2026-12-31T15:00:00Z
Volume: 2871

YES ask: 0.1800
NO ask: 0.9000
Last: 0.1500

View on Kalshi

Rules If Mirra Andreeva wins a tennis major (the Australian Open, the U.S. Open, the French Open, or Wimbledon) before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-21T08:05:25Z

Reasoning: The Miami Open is not a Grand Slam. Winning a Grand Slam does not imply winning Miami, and winning Miami does not imply winning a Grand Slam.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.1800
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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