Pair #2380

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXFOWOMEN-26-AND

Will Mirra Andreeva win the French Open?

Series: KXFOWOMEN
Entity: Mirra Andreeva
Expiration: 2026-06-10T17:00:00Z
Volume: 93843

YES ask: 0.1100
NO ask: 0.9100
Last: 0.1000

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Mirra Andreeva wins the 2026 Women's French Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXWTAMATCH-26MAR21ANDBOU-AND

Will Mirra Andreeva win the Andreeva vs Bouzkova : Round Of 32 match?

Series: KXWTAMATCH
Entity: Mirra Andreeva
Expiration: 2026-03-21T17:00:00Z
Volume: 1128

YES ask: 0.8400
NO ask: 0.1800
Last: 0.8400

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Mirra Andreeva wins the Andreeva vs Bouzkova professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Miami Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-21T08:05:25Z

Reasoning: Winning the French Open does not require winning any Miami Open match, and winning a Miami Round of 32 match does not imply winning the French Open. Different tournaments.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: -100.00% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.7500
Days to maturity: 10
Hurdle yield: 4.22%
Excess yield: -104.22% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue