KXNHL-26-COL
Will Colorado Avalanche win the 2025-26 Stanley Cup Finals?
Series: KXNHL
Entity: Colorado Avalanche
Expiration: 2026-07-01T14:00:00Z
Volume: 6394336
YES ask: 0.0600
NO ask: 0.9600
Last: 0.0400
KXNHLWEST-26-COL
Western Conference Finals Winner?
Series: KXNHLWEST
Entity: Colorado Avalanche
Expiration: 2026-07-01T14:00:00Z
Volume: 2321040
YES ask: 0.1100
NO ask: 0.9000
Last: 0.1000
Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-18T08:04:36Z
Reasoning: To win the Stanley Cup Finals, Colorado must have won the Western Conference Finals first. So winning the Cup necessarily implies winning the Western Conference Finals. The reverse does not hold — winning the conference finals does not guarantee winning the Cup.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
-56.10%
(negative yield)
Cost:
$1.0700
Days to maturity:
30
Hurdle yield:
4.22%
Excess yield:
-60.32%
BELOW HURDLE
Decision: confirmed
Reviewed at: 2026-03-18T11:39:49Z