Pair #2379

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXFOWOMEN-26-AND

Will Mirra Andreeva win the French Open?

Series: KXFOWOMEN
Entity: Mirra Andreeva
Expiration: 2026-06-10T17:00:00Z
Volume: 93843

YES ask: 0.1100
NO ask: 0.9100
Last: 0.1000

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Mirra Andreeva wins the 2026 Women's French Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXMOWOMEN-26-AND

Will Mirra Andreeva win the WTA Miami Open?

Series: KXMOWOMEN
Entity: Mirra Andreeva
Expiration: 2026-03-28T19:30:00Z
Volume: 2719

YES ask: 0.1200
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1200

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Mirra Andreeva wins the 2026 WTA Miami Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-21T08:05:25Z

Reasoning: The French Open and the WTA Miami Open are separate tournaments. Winning one does not logically necessitate winning the other.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: -66.00% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.0300
Days to maturity: 10
Hurdle yield: 4.22%
Excess yield: -70.22% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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