Pair #2378

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXFOWOMEN-26-KOS

Will Marta Kostyuk win the French Open?

Series: KXFOWOMEN
Entity: Marta Kostyuk
Expiration: 2026-06-10T17:00:00Z
Volume: 185193

YES ask: 0.0500
NO ask: 0.9600
Last: 0.0400

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Marta Kostyuk wins the 2026 Women's French Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXMOWOMEN-26-KOS

Will Marta Kostyuk win the WTA Miami Open?

Series: KXMOWOMEN
Entity: Marta Kostyuk
Expiration: 2026-03-28T19:30:00Z
Volume: 1104

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Marta Kostyuk wins the 2026 WTA Miami Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-21T08:05:25Z

Reasoning: The French Open and the WTA Miami Open are completely separate tournaments. Winning one does not imply winning the other in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: 203.97% PROFITABLE
Cost: $0.9700
Days to maturity: 10
Hurdle yield: 4.22%
Excess yield: +199.75% PROFITABLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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