Pair #2373

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXFOWOMEN-26-SVI

Will Elina Svitolina win the French Open?

Series: KXFOWOMEN
Entity: Elina Svitolina
Expiration: 2026-06-10T17:00:00Z
Volume: 217455

YES ask: 0.0900
NO ask: 0.9300
Last: 0.0900

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Rules

If Elina Svitolina wins the 2026 Women's French Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXWTAMATCH-26MAR21SVIBAP-SVI

Will Elina Svitolina win the Svitolina vs Baptiste : Round Of 32 match?

Series: KXWTAMATCH
Entity: Elina Svitolina
Expiration: 2026-03-21T17:00:00Z
Volume: 7639

YES ask: 0.8100
NO ask: 0.2000
Last: 0.8100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Elina Svitolina wins the Svitolina vs Baptiste professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Miami Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-21T08:05:25Z

Reasoning: Winning the French Open does not require winning the Miami Open Round of 32 match — these are different tournaments. Winning the Miami Round of 32 match does not imply winning the French Open. No logical implication in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: -100.00% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.7400
Days to maturity: 9
Hurdle yield: 4.22%
Excess yield: -104.22% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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