Antecedent (if this happens)
KXNHL-26-COL
Will Colorado Avalanche win the 2025-26 Stanley Cup Finals?
Series: KXNHL
Entity: Colorado Avalanche
Expiration: 2026-07-01T14:00:00Z
Volume: 6394336
YES ask: 0.0600
NO ask: 0.9600
Last: 0.0400
View on Kalshi
Rules
If the Colorado Avalanche win the 2025-26 Stanley Cup Finals, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)
KXNHLPRES-26-COL
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the Pro Hockey President's Trophy?
Series: KXNHLPRES
Entity: Colorado Avalanche
Expiration: 2026-04-17T14:00:00Z
Volume: 48583
YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.0100
Last: 0.9900
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Colorado Avalanche wins the Pro Hockey President's Trophy, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-18T08:04:36Z
Reasoning: Winning the Stanley Cup does not require winning the President's Trophy (best regular season record), and winning the President's Trophy does not guarantee winning the Stanley Cup. These are independent achievements.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
-100.00%
(negative yield)
Cost:
$1.9600
Days to maturity:
18
Hurdle yield:
4.19%
Excess yield:
-104.19%
BELOW HURDLE