Pair #2369

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXFOWOMEN-26-KEY

Will Madison Keys win the French Open?

Series: KXFOWOMEN
Entity: Madison Keys
Expiration: 2026-06-10T17:00:00Z
Volume: 58253

YES ask: 0.0300
NO ask: 0.9800
Last: 0.0300

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Madison Keys wins the 2026 Women's French Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXWTAMATCH-26MAR20RUSKEY-KEY

Will Madison Keys win the Ruse vs Keys : Round Of 64 match?

Series: KXWTAMATCH
Entity: Madison Keys
Expiration: 2026-03-20T21:30:00Z
Volume: 6570

YES ask: 0.6900
NO ask: 0.3200
Last: 0.6900

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Madison Keys wins the Ruse vs Keys professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Miami Round Of 64 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-21T08:05:08Z

Reasoning: The French Open and the WTA Miami Round of 64 match are separate tournaments. Neither result implies the other.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: -100.00% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.6700
Days to maturity: 9
Hurdle yield: 4.22%
Excess yield: -104.22% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue