Pair #2368

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXMOWOMEN-26-PEG

Will Jessica Pegula win the WTA Miami Open?

Series: KXMOWOMEN
Entity: Jessica Pegula
Expiration: 2026-03-28T19:30:00Z
Volume: 9229

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Jessica Pegula wins the 2026 WTA Miami Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXWTAMATCH-26MAR20JONPEG-PEG

Will Jessica Pegula win the Jones vs Pegula : Round Of 64 match?

Series: KXWTAMATCH
Entity: Jessica Pegula
Expiration: 2026-03-20T17:00:00Z
Volume: 10377

YES ask: 0.9500
NO ask: 0.0600
Last: 0.9400

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Jessica Pegula wins the Jones vs Pegula professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Miami Round Of 64 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-21T08:05:08Z

Reasoning: To win the WTA Miami Open, Pegula must win every match including the Round of 64 match against Jones. Winning the tournament necessarily implies she won this match. The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.9500
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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