Pair #2366

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXFOWOMEN-26-PEG

Will Jessica Pegula win the French Open?

Series: KXFOWOMEN
Entity: Jessica Pegula
Expiration: 2026-06-10T17:00:00Z
Volume: 97143

YES ask: 0.0300
NO ask: 0.9800
Last: 0.0300

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Jessica Pegula wins the 2026 Women's French Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXWTAMATCH-26MAR20JONPEG-PEG

Will Jessica Pegula win the Jones vs Pegula : Round Of 64 match?

Series: KXWTAMATCH
Entity: Jessica Pegula
Expiration: 2026-03-20T17:00:00Z
Volume: 10377

YES ask: 0.9500
NO ask: 0.0600
Last: 0.9400

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Jessica Pegula wins the Jones vs Pegula professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Miami Round Of 64 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-21T08:05:08Z

Reasoning: The French Open and the WTA Miami Round of 64 match are separate tournaments. Neither result implies the other.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: -100.00% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.9300
Days to maturity: 10
Hurdle yield: 4.22%
Excess yield: -104.22% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue