Pair #2365

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXMOWOMEN-26-ANI

Will Amanda Anisimova win the WTA Miami Open?

Series: KXMOWOMEN
Entity: Amanda Anisimova
Expiration: 2026-03-28T19:30:00Z
Volume: 4217

YES ask: 0.0600
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

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Rules

If Amanda Anisimova wins the 2026 WTA Miami Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXWTAMATCH-26MAR21ANISTA-ANI

Will Amanda Anisimova win the Anisimova vs Starodubtseva : Round Of 32 match?

Series: KXWTAMATCH
Entity: Amanda Anisimova
Expiration: 2026-03-21T17:00:00Z
Volume: 729

YES ask: 0.8600
NO ask: 0.1500
Last: 0.8600

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Amanda Anisimova wins the Anisimova vs Starodubtseva professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Miami Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-21T08:05:08Z

Reasoning: To win the WTA Miami Open, Anisimova must win every match in the tournament including the Round of 32 match against Starodubtseva. Therefore winning the Miami Open necessarily implies she won this specific match. The reverse does not hold — winning one match doesn't mean she wins the tournament.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.8600
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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