Pair #2363

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXFOWOMEN-26-ANI

Will Amanda Anisimova win the French Open?

Series: KXFOWOMEN
Entity: Amanda Anisimova
Expiration: 2026-06-10T17:00:00Z
Volume: 130190

YES ask: 0.0300
NO ask: 0.9800
Last: 0.0300

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Rules

If Amanda Anisimova wins the 2026 Women's French Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXWTAMATCH-26MAR21ANISTA-ANI

Will Amanda Anisimova win the Anisimova vs Starodubtseva : Round Of 32 match?

Series: KXWTAMATCH
Entity: Amanda Anisimova
Expiration: 2026-03-21T17:00:00Z
Volume: 729

YES ask: 0.8600
NO ask: 0.1500
Last: 0.8600

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Amanda Anisimova wins the Anisimova vs Starodubtseva professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Miami Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-21T08:05:08Z

Reasoning: The French Open and the WTA Miami Open Round of 32 match are completely separate tournaments. Winning the French Open does not require winning a Miami Open match, and vice versa.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: -100.00% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.8400
Days to maturity: 10
Hurdle yield: 4.22%
Excess yield: -104.22% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

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