Pair #2360

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXLIVTOUR-LIGSA26-TGOO

Will Talor Gooch win the LIV Golf South Africa?

Series: KXLIVTOUR
Entity: Talor Gooch
Expiration: 2026-03-22T00:00:00Z
Volume: 61671

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Talor Gooch wins the LIV Golf South Africa, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXLIVTOP10-LIGSA26-TGOO

LIV Golf South Africa: Will Talor Gooch finish top 10?

Series: KXLIVTOP10
Entity: Talor Gooch
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 6171

YES ask: 0.4300
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.3200

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Talor Gooch finishes top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 LIV Golf South Africa golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-21T08:05:08Z

Reasoning: If Talor Gooch wins the LIV Golf South Africa, he necessarily finishes in the top 10 (1st place is within top 10). The reverse is not true — finishing top 10 does not mean he won.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.4300
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue