Pair #2359

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXLIVTOUR-LIGSA26-PUIH

Will Peter Uihlein win the LIV Golf South Africa?

Series: KXLIVTOUR
Entity: Peter Uihlein
Expiration: 2026-03-22T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1976

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Peter Uihlein wins the LIV Golf South Africa, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXLIVTOP10-LIGSA26-PUIH

LIV Golf South Africa: Will Peter Uihlein finish top 10?

Series: KXLIVTOP10
Entity: Peter Uihlein
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 400

YES ask: 0.0500
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.2200

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Peter Uihlein finishes top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 LIV Golf South Africa golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-21T08:04:49Z

Reasoning: Winning the LIV Golf South Africa means finishing 1st, which necessarily places Uihlein in the top 10. The reverse is not true — finishing top 10 does not require winning.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0500
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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