Pair #235

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXNHLCENTRAL-26-NSH

Will Nashville Predators win the NHL Central Division?

Series: KXNHLCENTRAL
Entity: Nashville Predators
Expiration: 2026-04-17T14:00:00Z
Volume: 1306

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If the Nashville Predators win the 2025-2026 NHL Central Division, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXNHLWEST-26-NSH

Western Conference Finals Winner?

Series: KXNHLWEST
Entity: Nashville Predators
Expiration: 2026-07-01T14:00:00Z
Volume: 72043

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Nashville Predators wins the Western Conference Finals, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-18T08:04:36Z

Reasoning: Winning the Western Conference Finals does not require winning the Central Division (a team can reach the conference finals as a wild card). And winning the Central Division does not guarantee reaching the Western Conference Finals. No logical implication in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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