Pair #2345

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR3LEAD-VAC26-BKOE

Will Brooks Koepka lead at the end of Round 3 in the Valspar Championship?

Series: KXPGAR3LEAD
Entity: Brooks Koepka
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 2123

YES ask: 0.0400
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0400

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Rules

If Brooks Koepka is the leader at the end of Round 3 in the 2026 Valspar Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-BKOE

Will Brooks Koepka win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Brooks Koepka
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 9023953

YES ask: 0.0020
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0020

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Brooks Koepka wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-21T08:04:30Z

Reasoning: Winning the Masters and leading after Round 3 of the Valspar are completely independent events across different tournaments. Neither implies the other.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0020
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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