Pair #2329

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP5-VAC26-SKIM

Valspar Championship: Will Seonghyeon Kim finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Seonghyeon Kim
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1077

YES ask: 0.2700
NO ask: 0.8100
Last: 0.2700

View on Kalshi

Rules If Seonghyeon Kim finishes top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-VAC26-SKIM

Valspar Championship: Will Seonghyeon Kim finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Seonghyeon Kim
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 17882

YES ask: 0.5500
NO ask: 0.5000
Last: 0.5000

View on Kalshi

Rules If Seonghyeon Kim finishes top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-21T08:04:12Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 5 necessarily means finishing top 10. Top 10 does not imply top 5.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.3600
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue