Pair #2317

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-VAC26-JBRI

Valspar Championship: Will Jacob Bridgeman finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Jacob Bridgeman
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 45822

YES ask: 0.2800
NO ask: 0.7300
Last: 0.2800

View on Kalshi

Rules If Jacob Bridgeman finishes top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-JBRI

Will Jacob Bridgeman win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Jacob Bridgeman
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 5694716

YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010

View on Kalshi

Rules If Jacob Bridgeman wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-21T08:03:55Z

Reasoning: Winning the Masters does not imply any particular finish at the Valspar Championship. These are separate tournaments with no logical dependency.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.7310
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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