Pair #2314

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP5-VAC26-JBRI

Valspar Championship: Will Jacob Bridgeman finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Jacob Bridgeman
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 24841

YES ask: 0.1000
NO ask: 0.9300
Last: 0.0700

View on Kalshi

Rules If Jacob Bridgeman finishes top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-VAC26-JBRI

Valspar Championship: Will Jacob Bridgeman finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Jacob Bridgeman
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 45822

YES ask: 0.2800
NO ask: 0.7300
Last: 0.2800

View on Kalshi

Rules If Jacob Bridgeman finishes top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-21T08:03:55Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 5 necessarily means finishing top 10 as well, since top 5 is a subset of top 10. The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.2100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue